Monthly Archive for October, 2008

Another small victory for common sense

Minister Matsepe-Casaburri courtesy kjd

Minister Matsepe-Casaburri courtesy kjd

Here in South Africa, Justice Norman Davis has denied Minister Ivy Matsepe-Casaburi’s request to appeal the Altech ruling. This once again opens the doors to competition in the telecoms sector in South Africa.  The Minister can still appeal to the Supreme Court but let us hope that she takes good advice on whether to do so.  The current situation has already gone from the sublime to the ridiculous.  However, I put nothing past the Department of Communications.  Telecoms in South Africa is the land of “never say never”.

The Minister could still attempt to have the Electronic Communications Act amended to suit her design but that seems less likely now for a couple of reasons. On the one hand, ICASA is now likely to continue converting VANS licenses to either individual Electronic Communications Network Service (ECNS) licenses (essentially a license to be a telco) or Electronic Communication Service (ECS) licenses. This is likely to mitigate against any attempt to move the state of play backwards.  On the other hand, elections are looming in South Africa for the middle of 2009 and the appetite for passing legislation that is likely to be unpopular will hopefully be quite small.

So, with this issue out of the way, what remains?  Well, frankly a lot.  Market definitions, interconnection fees, essential facilitites, local loop unbundling, the list goes on.  By far the most interesting one for me though is the issue of spectrum. The market is not going to really open up to competition unless we take some very proactive steps to open spectrum in South Africa.  That for me is the next and most immediate challenge for industry, government, and civil society.

The Risky Philanthropist

Last week I attended the MobileActive08 conference in Johannesburg which I have to say is one of the better conferences I have attended in a while.  Partly because of the turn-out of remarkable people, partly because of the non-talking-heads format of the event and partly because of the interesting initiatives that I think are going to come out of it.  Most interesting for me is likely to be the Open Mobile Consortium which brings together developers for mobile platforms to improve interoperability of applications on mobile platforms.

A surprise bonus for me was a donor round-table that I participated in.  Having been involved in “donor panels” before, my expectations were very low as donors are generally the last people you want to consult about what to do in development.  I suspect that people attend mostly because they want to sniff out which way the fickle donor wind is blowing.

Having said that the conversation did get interesting.  It re-awakened a conversation that Mark Surman had started and prompted me to think further about what philanthropy for a small foundation should look like.  In general I think it is true that most philanthropic institutions are more conservative than they intend to be and not as nimble as they imagine they are or they should be.

Pushing A String

Philanthropy is a bit like business in reverse.  In business, you try to create value that people are willing to pay for.  No value, no payment.  In philanthropy, you make payments in the hope of creating value.  Sometimes this works but sometimes it is like trying to push a string.  If you have someone pulling on the other side, everything works fine but if not all you have is a pile of string i.e. funding and no change.  I have funded my share of projects that turned out to be piles of string.  So how do you ensure that the person / organisation on the other side is pulling as you are paying out string.  I sometimes envy bankers and venture capitalists.  There is always someone pulling the string.  People come to you and if they meet the criteria, they can borrow money.  The string is kept tight because the consequences of failure for either side keeps people honest.

With philanthropy, what is the consequence of failure?  If you are a good spin-doctor, quite possibly there are no consequences.  It is not that hard to exploit the fact that most donors (I am by no means exempt) quite naturally don’t like to acknowledge or admit failure.

Lessons from Venture Capital

When I joined the Shuttleworth Foundation about 10 months ago, I was quite excited about the prospect of being co-located with Mark Shuttleworth’s Venture Capital company (HBD Venture Capital).   I imagined this might be an opportunity to blend Venture Capital thinking with philanthropic thinking.  The reality was a little different than I imagined.  HBD have a great team of people but it became immediately evident that the values of HBD were quite different from the Foundation.  The mandate of HBD is to provide an impressive financial return on investment whereas the mandate of the Foundation is social transformation.  These don’t fit easily together, at least not in the obvious way I imagined they might.

Having said that, the rigour with which venture capitalists scrutinize their clients is something worth looking at.  We just need to move that rigour from a single bottom line to a triple bottom line. One idea we have thought about trying here is to have the Foundation staff pitch their development ideas to the HBD fund managers in a Dragon’s Den style in order to start opening up that discussion.

Philanthropy Has a Place Beyond Venture Capital

At the Foundation, one of the criteria we have for projects is the potential for “viral” growth.  The increasing connectedness of the world opens up the possibility for large scale impact, assuming you find the right recipe.  Part of finding the right recipe is trying stuff that banks and venture capitalists would never fund.  Giving a crazy idea a chance to become sufficiently mainstream in order to attract the attention of more conventional sources of funding.  Doing this requires a conscious decision to withstand the naysayers and conventional wisdom types who may argue, for example,  that openly licensed materials will never achieve the quality of commercial products.  Being consciously risky is a good place for philanthropy, at least for a foundation the size of this one.

Failing with Style

The corollary to taking risks in philanthropy is recognising and dealing with projects that don’t succeed.  This week’s Economist has an article about technology start-ups facing the downturn which I think has a clue for philanthropists about how to deal with failing projects.  Have some rules!

Another useful strategy is to shed projects that are not central to a start-up’s business. Executives at Jive Software, which produces online collaboration tools for corporate clients, say it is now far better at scrapping initiatives that do not seem to be paying off. Once these have been placed on a “kill list”, there is no further discussion about them. In the past the lack of a formal process for canning ideas meant that many lived on, absorbing time and resources better spent elsewhere.

Have a formal process for killing ideas. Now that is a sensible idea.

Undersea Cables Update

Sub-saharan Undersea Cables in 2010 - maybe (version 8) I’ve now moved the African Undersea Cables map to a permanent page that I will update as new information emerges.  The latest revision includes updates of:

  • the EASSy cable to reflect its growth to 1.4 terabits
  • the TEAMS cable to reflect its growth to 1.2 terabits (120 gigabits initial)
  • the SAT3 cable to remove the proposed 2010 upgrade about which I have heard nothing since WACS was announced

Opening Spectrum Above 275GHz

As I am getting my head around spectrum issues, I have found Michael Marcus’s blog, Spectrum Talk, tremendously useful. On the weekend he posted a link to a consultation that Ofcom (the UK communications regulator) have launched consultation on the possibility of of making license-exempt the bandwidth between 275GHz and 3000GH.

Excerpted from Ofcom doc - click on image to download full PDF

Excerpted from Ofcom doc - click on image to download full PDF

The rationale for declaring this range of bandwidth a “commons” is that the propagation characteristics of this range of bandwidth are such that any device would have fairly limited line-of-sight range.  This range of bandwidth is prone to atmospheric loss and does not travel well through solid objects.  Thus, the chances of interference among devices is minimised.  Also, the large range of bandwidth that Ofcom are proposing to open up would also reduce the chances of interference.

The motivation for this proposal are two-fold.  On the one hand, opening this range of spectrum to the commons reduces the regulatory management overhead for Ofcom.  On the other hand, and for me more interestingly, Ofcom have explicitly recognised the potential for innovation in unlicensed spectrum.  Specifically, they say:

“By removing regulatory overheads, the release of the spectrum in the 275-3000 GHz may encourage innovation and the emergence of new applications of value to citizens and consumers. Potential new applications for this band include short range anti-collision radar devices, detection of skin cancer and other non destructive evaluation methods used in industrial processes. However, given that it is unclear at this stage which applications will be successful and when this will happen, it is difficult to estimate the economic benefits to citizens and consumers.”
(text bolding added by me)

Recognising a spectrum commons as a source of innovation, in my opinion, is a very important step for any regulator.  These are the kinds of discussions that need to start happening now in South Africa but equally in emerging markets in general.  Spectrum is a complex area that demands as much technical as economic expertise to understand how it may be most effectively used.