Erik Hersman recently tweeted “I’d like to hear more on whether we should build SMS or internet services in Africa?” This had the serendipitous effect of breaking a bit of a blogger’s block for me.
I think most would agree that the answer is not either/or but a mix of the two. That being the case, it it worth unpacking the merits of either option. I’ve written previously about why IP-based infrastructure in Africa is essential to break down the walled-garden environments that have been established by mobile operators. And though it’s good to have a vision of what communication infrastructure should look like, it is equally important to recognise what exists. Here are five reasons why I think SMS will remain important for some time:
- Familiarity of Experience: An important reason for continuing to bet on SMS is the comprehensive familiarity of experience that it enjoys. Everyone understands how SMS works. It works pretty much the same on every phone. SMS is a consistent user experience. Contrast this with designing something even as simple as a USSD app and you find that individual phone design (both physical and OS) interrupts that familiarity of experience.
- Always On: SMS is always on. You never have to worry about whether you’ve signed in or not. Or whether it is taking up memory in your phone that is slowing everything else down or worse that it has completely taken over your user interface while in operation. You can rely on SMS to work as long as your phone is on.
- Already secure: SMS is directly linked to your phone number which provides a level of identification and transaction security. This makes monetising transactions a whole lot easier. This brings up a side issue for me as to why phone numbers aren’t as personal, universal, and operator-independent as email addresses but I’ll save that for another post.
- 160 chars is a killer app: What we’ve learned from Twitter is that 160/140 characters is enough space to be valuable to everyone no matter how fast their Internet connection is. SMS is the same. There is room for loads of innovation with SMS alone, if only it were priced appropriately. If SMS cost what it should cost i.e. just a tiny bit more than nothing, then ANY mobile can be an affordable, viable bridge to the Internet.
- Network Effects: The biggest reason of all to carry on investing in SMS-based app development is the massive network effects that SMS enjoys. Everyone uses SMS and is reachable via SMS. In order for an IP-based service to be meaningful, it has to reach a critical mass of users. MXit has achieved this in South Africa through a massive take-up among the teen population but I don’t believe this is a generalizable example across the continent, largely because MXit is not a very open platform for developers. For an app to become popular a significant number of the people close to you have to be using it too. It may be that Google’s Android environment does that. Microsoft are also trying to solve that problem with their OneApp solution (Mibli in South Africa). One the other hand, the soaring popularity of Facebook on mobiles may lead to it evolving as a generic platform. Certainly, the first platform to establish itself as a popular consistent sign-on and open application development environment will be a game changer.
SMS gets more traction in the beginning due to inherent deployment, but IP will dominate in the end. Ask Africans if they prefer to have connectivity on SMS or IP. I mean, for people living in the US, would you go back to using only SMS now that you’ve been accessing the net through IP-based systems? Now why, if given the chance would anyone in Africa want to stick to SMS if and when IP is available? Given how few SMS messages I receive in Côte d’Ivoire and how many more voice calls, I’d actually go so far as to say that where it’s possible, SMS has lost this race already.
I agree with Miquel… the mobile operators will eventually have to drop premium charging for SMS as parity pricing with instant messaging across IP will result in more efficient use of their own network resources
@Miquel No question that IP is better but currently it’s less embedded, more complex and less ubiquitous. All of that is true right now and it matters in terms of reaching people.
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@OpenRevolution I guess the question is how soon is “eventually”. In my experience with mobile operators it is *always* significantly slower than you think it is going to be. Here in South Africa they are talking about introducing SMS interconnect fees. How crazy is that?
IP is the wave of the future. The problem is designing systems that work with the “now,” which in most African countries, isn’t the Internet. In addition, in many African countries (even those w/ undersea cable links), monopolies have resulted in INSANELY expensive bandwidth. Many countries also *require* mobile operators to buy bandwidth from the state incumbent, instead of operating their own VSATs or buying from other ISPs. This makes IP expensive for everyone, doubly so for the end user. Add that to the fact that its audience is crazy small compared to the number of people with cell phones, and it just makes more sense to design for SMS right now.
In 10 years, it’ll be a different story, I’m sure. Maybe less, what with all of these undersea cables showing up and all. But today, there are huge parts of the continent where Internet is simply unavailable, and there are huge segments of the population who have not and will not ever use it (illiteracy, expense, lack of access, and a million other reasons). SMS is much more accessible and much cheaper.
tl;dr SMS today. IP tomorrow.
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Some interesting points to consider Steve, thanks. I’ve posted an article about my thoughts regarding the challenges of SMS-based services over on my blog at http://www.andifriedman.com/index.php/2010/02/why-not-sms-in-africa/ if you’re interested.
Steve, nice. Here is another reason: SMS gets through. With the massive growth and inadequate infrastructure in many countries, voice and where available IP are just not feasible unless there is massive investment to beef up the networks. SMS WILL get through even when the ‘network is busy’ for hours on end.
Katrin
I plan to make USSD apps easier to create in OpenBTS. I think we can convert USSD requests to HTTP requests and then any enough skilled web-developer can create USSD app. And there are thousands of web-developers out there. I hope this will bring more innovative USSD apps to OpenBTS installations so they can rival SMS apps. I believe USSD is more natural way of accessing many types of information then SMS.
I am all for SMS. The possibility of using SMS in Africa for things such as medicine awareness and warning notifications is huge. In Zambia measles have been monitored through Bulk SMS, in Mozambique health workers can support diagnosis & treatment through Bulk SMS and even in Uganda, Malawi and Benin health education messages are sent by text mesages. Why isn’t more of this happening everywhere in Africa? I say GO GO GO on developing SMS services in Africa. To read more on SMS and medicine in Africa, visit: http://bit.ly/dVv7sD
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